TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 64M
- Kalshi
Above 64M - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 4, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jul 4, 2:31 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
Playboi Carti's streaming performance is tracked across all digital platforms worldwide during the week of June 26 - July 02, 2026. Streaming data is compiled by Luminate Data, LLC and published approximately 48 hours after the tracking period ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Playboi Carti's total worldwide streams during the June 26 - July 02, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data, LLC. The event features tiered thresholds ranging from 64 million to 74 million streams, with each threshold representing a distinct resolution point. Streaming data is finalized and published approximately 48 hours following the conclusion of the tracking period. Luminate Data, LLC serves as a neutral provider of market metrics and does not endorse, verify, or participate in prediction market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets from many participants with direct financial incentives to predict accurately. While music industry analysts may rely on historical trends and label guidance, this market reflects live trader conviction weighted by capital at risk. Comparing the implied probability here to published forecasts from music data firms or streaming platforms can reveal where the crowd sees upside or downside relative to expert consensus, making it a useful cross-check for entertainment forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers post bids and asks on the outcome they expect. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether Playboi Carti's weekly streaming activity will exceed or fall short of the specified threshold. The price of each outcome contract reflects the collective assessment of all active traders, with spreads tightening as more volume flows in and widening during lower-activity periods. Your position's value updates in real time as new trades move the market.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed against credible public sources documenting Playboi Carti's actual streaming performance for the relevant period. Once the data is verifiable and the resolution criteria are met, winning positions are paid out and losing positions expire worthless. The exact measurement window and threshold are specified in the market's full terms, ensuring all traders have a clear, objective standard for determining the winner.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before resolution. New music releases, high-profile features, or playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, or YouTube could drive streaming surges. Social media momentum, viral moments, or tour announcements may boost engagement. Conversely, extended hiatuses, competing releases from other artists, or shifts in listener taste could suppress activity. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports may also trigger repricing as traders update their expectations based on emerging information about Playboi Carti's current trajectory.
