TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 3:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Playboi Carti's worldwide streaming performance during the week of June 19–25, 2026. Streaming data is collected from major music platforms globally and published by Luminate Data, typically within 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Resolution is determined by Playboi Carti's total worldwide streams during the June 19–25, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data. Each outcome threshold represents a specific streaming volume target, with resolution occurring if that threshold is exceeded. Data publication may occur up to approximately 48 hours after the tracking period concludes. Luminate Data serves as a neutral provider of market metrics and does not endorse or participate in prediction market outcomes.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money bets from many participants rather than relying on a single expert opinion. In this market, traders continuously update prices based on breaking news, social media signals, and industry developments, creating a dynamic consensus that can shift faster than published analyst reports. While analysts may issue periodic predictions about streaming trends, this market reflects live market-driven probability estimates. Comparing the two approaches reveals whether professional forecasters and crowd wisdom align or diverge on what to expect.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on a specific outcome, and the price reflects the collective confidence of all active participants. As new information emerges—whether related to streaming metrics, artist announcements, or industry events—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates market liquidity and conviction among participants.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed against credible public sources. The resolution hinges on verifiable data about streaming activity during the specified period, ensuring that the final result reflects actual documented performance rather than speculation. Once the event window closes and relevant metrics are finalized, the market will settle accordingly. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout based on the final odds at which they entered their positions.
Several catalysts could shift this market significantly before resolution. New music releases or surprise album announcements would likely spike trading activity and repricing. Chart debuts, playlist placements on major streaming platforms, or viral social media moments tied to the artist could reshape expectations. Industry news—such as changes to streaming metrics, platform algorithm updates, or competitive releases from other artists—may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any official statements or tour announcements could trigger substantial position adjustments as participants reassess streaming demand.