TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 2:21 AM EST
Kalshi
Playboi Carti's streaming performance is tracked across the week of June 12–18, 2026, measuring his total worldwide streams during that tracking period. Streaming data is compiled by Luminate Data, LLC and published approximately 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Resolution is determined by Playboi Carti's total worldwide streams during the June 12–18, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data, LLC. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific streaming threshold, with resolution to Yes if the artist exceeds that threshold. Data is published approximately 48 hours after the end of the tracking period. Luminate Data, LLC serves as a neutral provider of market metrics and does not endorse, verify, or participate in prediction market outcomes.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and crowd wisdom rather than single expert opinions. On this market, traders continuously update prices based on incoming data, news, and their own expectations, creating a dynamic consensus that can move faster than published analyst reports. While analysts may issue periodic forecasts on streaming trends, this market aggregates dispersed information from many participants, sometimes revealing signals that formal predictions miss. Comparing the two approaches can highlight where market participants see opportunities or risks that analysts have overlooked.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers on competing outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to it, with higher prices indicating stronger conviction. As new information surfaces—such as streaming data releases or industry news—participants adjust their orders, moving the market price. This real-time repricing ensures the odds stay aligned with current expectations and available evidence.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the specified streaming activity threshold is met during the relevant period. Traders should monitor official announcements and verified data sources as the deadline approaches to anticipate how the market may settle. Early positioning based on your own research into streaming trends and artist activity can yield an edge before final verification.
Several catalysts could shift this market significantly. New music releases, tour announcements, or viral moments involving the artist often spike streaming activity and reshape trader expectations. Chart performance updates, playlist placements on major platforms, and social media trends can all influence weekly streaming numbers. Industry reports on streaming trends or changes to platform algorithms may also prompt repricing. Additionally, any official statements or data leaks about streaming metrics could trigger sharp moves as traders reassess their positions ahead of resolution.