TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 2:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Playboi Carti's streaming performance is tracked across all major platforms worldwide during the week of June 26 - July 02, 2026. Streaming data is compiled by Luminate Data, LLC and typically published within 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
If Playboi Carti has above 68,977,440 Worldwide Streams during the June 26 - July 02, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders with skin in the game, often diverging meaningfully from traditional analyst commentary. While media forecasters and entertainment insiders may offer qualitative takes on streaming likelihood, this market aggregates dispersed knowledge through price discovery. Traders who accurately predict outcomes profit, creating strong incentives for accuracy that pure punditry lacks. Comparing the current odds here to public statements from music journalists or industry analysts can reveal where market participants see hidden value or discount conventional wisdom.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers trade shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's aggregate belief in the probability of a stream occurring this week. As new information surfaces—social media hints, tour announcements, or platform activity—traders adjust their bids and asks, moving the price up or down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the odds stay current and reflect the latest consensus.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed against credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether a verified stream from Playboi Carti occurs during the specified week. Once the event window closes, traders will know whether the condition was met, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. The exact timing and verification process follow Kalshi's standard resolution procedures for entertainment events.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before resolution. Direct announcements from Playboi Carti's official accounts—whether confirming or denying a stream—would likely trigger sharp price swings. Tour schedules, album release dates, or surprise social media activity could also influence trader conviction. Broader entertainment news, platform trends, or competing events may reshape expectations indirectly. Watch for any credible reporting or verified statements that narrow uncertainty around his streaming plans this week.