TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional soccer teams will compete in a match where a clear winner must be determined within the standard playing time. The outcome hinges solely on which team secures a victory during this period, excluding any additional phases of play.
The event determines the winner of a professional USL Championship soccer match between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay, scheduled for August 29, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Pittsburgh wins within this timeframe, its market resolves to Yes; if Tampa Bay wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie, a separate 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price as per secondary rules. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalties from consideration, focusing only on regular time results.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and betting structures. While sportsbooks may set lines based on analytics and public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, sometimes producing sharper or more volatile prices. Traders watch both sources for discrepancies, but the key factor remains how community sentiment shapes this market’s pricing versus established sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective view of team performance, injuries, and game conditions. The top outcome’s chance is represented by a probability derived from market depth and order flow. Liquidity levels, shown via volume of $54,355, also affect price stability. As new information emerges — such as player status or weather updates — traders adjust positions, shifting the odds in real time.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official game outcome, and once confirmed, all positions settle automatically based on that final score. Timing is tied directly to when the game concludes and results are widely reported, ensuring a clear, objective resolution for all participants.
Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and strategic changes by coaches. High-profile performances or controversies leading up to the game also influence trader sentiment. As these developments unfold, volume of $31,072 may surge, reflecting heightened interest and potential swings in odds. Traders will closely monitor news and analytics to anticipate shifts.