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Pittsburgh vs San Diego: First Inning Run
opinion
kalshi

Pittsburgh vs San Diego: First Inning Run

Volume:
$481,898

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 10:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$481,898
N/A
N/A
$380,336
Settled
No
opinion

Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group covers two distinct markets for the Pittsburgh vs San Diego MLB game scheduled for August 26, 2026. The first market determines the winning team based on the final score, while the second market focuses on whether either team scores a run in the first inning.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: These markets resolve against completely different game metrics: final winner vs first-inning scoring occurrenceHero tip: Treat these as separate bets. A Pittsburgh win could occur with zero first-inning runs, while a San Diego win might feature early scoring. Never assume correlation between these markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Opinion: Resolves to Pittsburgh Pirates if they win final score, San Diego Padres if they win, 50-50 for ties/cancellations
  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes if either team scores in first inning, No otherwise
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Pittsburgh vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Opinion

In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-26 01:40 UTC: If the Pittsburgh Pirates win, the market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Opinion, the first-inning run market dashboard shows aggregated predictions from traders across platforms. It tracks the probability of which team will score first in the opening inning, reflecting consensus views through real-time odds and volume of $481,898. This view lets participants see how market sentiment shifts before the first pitch, with data pulled from all active venues. The dashboard updates continuously, giving a clear snapshot of where traders stand on this market as the game approaches.

On Kalshi and Opinion, prices can vary because of different user bases, trading volumes, and design features. Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more casual bettors, while another draws serious traders focused on statistical edges. This leads to variations in implied probabilities, especially when recent news — like a pitcher change — impacts perceptions. Additionally, differing fee structures and order types influence how quickly prices adjust, causing temporary gaps between the two venues.