TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 10:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Pittsburgh and Philadelphia will combine to score more than 2.5 runs in their professional baseball matchup. On Kalshi, the Yes outcome—that combined runs exceed 2.5—stands at 99.0%. The market resolves according to the official final score from the game scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. Watch for the final out of the game on July 1, 2026, as that will determine the combined run total and settle the market.
Resolution is determined by the total runs scored by both teams combined in the Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. Each outcome corresponds to a specific run threshold, with resolution to Yes occurring if the combined total exceeds that threshold. The game's final official score, as recorded by the league, determines the result.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and attract different participant bases. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market reflects what traders collectively believe will happen, which can differ meaningfully from a sportsbook's opening or closing line. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus opinion and professional oddsmaking align or diverge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares tied to different run-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of traders to bet on that result, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. As new information emerges—lineups, weather, injury reports—traders adjust their positions, and prices move accordingly to reflect updated expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the game concludes and the final run total is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as traders react to pre-game developments, live action, and any other factors that might influence offensive production. Resolution is automatic once the event result is finalized and recorded.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before it closes. Lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates to key hitters or pitchers often trigger significant moves. Weather forecasts—wind direction and speed especially—can influence offensive expectations. Recent offensive trends, bullpen availability, and head-to-head matchup history also influence trader positioning. As game time nears, any last-minute roster changes or tactical adjustments may prompt rapid repricing as traders update their run-total expectations.