TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both Pittsburgh and New England in their upcoming football game, focusing specifically on how many touchdowns each team scores. The outcome depends on whether each team reaches certain touchdown thresholds during the match.
The event resolves based on the number of touchdowns scored by Pittsburgh and New England in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific touchdown threshold for one of the teams. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent, with each one resolving to 'Yes' if the respective team achieves its designated touchdown threshold, and 'No' otherwise. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, influencing the stated probabilities. This market, driven by the collective predictions of traders, aims to represent the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the game’s outcome, particularly as kickoff approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular team will score more touchdowns, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of touchdowns scored by each team in the Pittsburgh versus New England game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders will be able to see the final results and payouts shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team are significant catalysts, as are changes in weather forecasts, which could affect passing or running strategies. News regarding coaching decisions or shifts in team dynamics could also impact trader sentiment. Even late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to price fluctuations in this market, as traders react to the latest information available.