TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard milestones for specific players in an upcoming football game, determining whether they achieve particular yardage thresholds during the match.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the corresponding rushing yard threshold or more in the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined solely by the total rushing yards they accumulate during the game. All markets are independent and evaluated based on the official game statistics.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds, but it’s not always the case, and both can provide valuable insights for those following the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific range of total rushing yards. Traders can buy contracts if they believe the actual rushing yards will fall within that range, or sell contracts if they believe it won’t. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the price converges toward a collective assessment of the likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total rushing yards from the Pittsburgh versus New England game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally will be sourced from official NFL statistics and will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct rushing yards range will receive a payout, while those who held losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount depends on the price paid for the contract.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the expected weather conditions for the game. News regarding offensive line changes or strategic shifts in play-calling could also impact the market. Even general public sentiment, fueled by media coverage or expert analysis, can drive trading activity and shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected news about either team’s overall health or coaching decisions could also move the market significantly.