TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:22 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether specific players achieve particular yardage thresholds in an upcoming football game between Pittsburgh and New England. Each outcome depends on a player's combined rushing and receiving yards meeting or exceeding a set number by the end of the match.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players record specified thresholds of combined rushing and receiving yards in the Pittsburgh vs New England Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If a player is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual combined yardage recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage threshold markets for each named player, ensuring consistency in evaluation regardless of the specific threshold being observed.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially have a stronger opinion, the prediction market can often converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and more people trade.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions based on collective intelligence. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the Pittsburgh versus New England game—specifically, the combined rushing and receiving yards for all players on both teams—are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals will be sourced from official NFL data and used to determine which contracts payout. Traders will be able to see the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Pittsburgh or New England teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities and, therefore, the prices within this market.