TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game, offering multiple thresholds for each player to exceed. The outcomes are determined purely by the in-game performance of these players in terms of catching passes.
Each market focuses on whether a specified player records a minimum number of receptions in the game. If the player meets or exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A secondary rule addresses scenarios where the player is active but does not take any snaps: in such cases, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution regardless of the specific reception threshold or player involved.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants regarding the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of probabilities. The current price represents the cost to take one side of the bet, and the implied probability can be calculated from this price. The market's depth—the volume available at different price levels—indicates the strength of conviction behind each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics for player receptions will be used to determine the winning contracts. Specifically, the total number of receptions made by each player during the Pittsburgh versus New England game will be compared to the contract thresholds offered in this market. Any disputes will be resolved by referencing the official NFL game statistics as the final authority. The outcome will be determined based on official data, not subjective interpretations.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game strategies and reception totals. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or reports of altered playing time for relevant players would also be key catalysts. Finally, late-breaking news about team strategies or defensive matchups could lead to significant price movements in this market.