TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the final quarter of a specific football game between Pittsburgh and New England. It highlights the importance of late-game performance, where momentum and strategy can dramatically shift the outcome of a match.
If New England wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Pittsburgh vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Pittsburgh vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Pittsburgh vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information available to a wider range of participants. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the game's outcome. Over time, the odds on Kalshi may converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available, but often discrepancies remain, presenting potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible result, offering insights into the potential direction of the market.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on which team, if any, has the lead at the end of the 4th quarter of the game between Pittsburgh and New England. If the game ends in a tie after the 4th quarter, the 'Neither Team Wins' outcome will be considered the result. Traders should monitor official game results to understand the final outcome and market settlement.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Pittsburgh or New England would significantly impact the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the earlier quarters, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports analysts, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market price as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.