TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:58 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess how many points will be scored by both teams combined in the first quarter of an upcoming football game. Each market sets a different threshold for the total points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets evaluate the total points scored by Pittsburgh and New England during the first quarter of their game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from more than 3.5 points to more than 24.5 points. If the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first quarter count, and all markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. The markets are speculative assessments of scoring pace and offensive efficiency at the start of the game.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors a particular result. Examining these differences can be valuable when forming your own informed opinion about the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first quarter will be above or below a certain threshold. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the first quarter of the Pittsburgh versus New England game will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Pittsburgh or New England teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting passing or kicking games, could also shift the market. Even significant public discussion or analysis predicting a high- or low-scoring first quarter could influence trader behavior and impact the price of contracts in this market.