TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. They provide different thresholds for scoring milestones, allowing participants to assess varying levels of offensive performance.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Pittsburgh or New England in the first half of their game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market specifies a unique point threshold; if the specified team exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Thresholds range from modest scoring levels to very high benchmarks, offering multiple opportunities to gauge different degrees of offensive success. The governing body's official scoring rules apply, and all outcomes are determined exclusively by the game's first-half statistics. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of an outcome. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison when evaluating this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the team's first-half total points. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential outcome, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half team totals are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the NFL following the completion of the first half of the game between Pittsburgh and New England. The market will settle to 100 if the team's first-half total points are over the specified number, and 0 if it is under. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi after the event concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 20, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or changes in the starting lineup for either team would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, could also shift the market as they affect the potential for scoring. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment and cause the market to move. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role in shaping expectations.