TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of outcomes from both the first half and the full game of a football match between Pittsburgh and New England. Each market requires a particular result in the first half to occur alongside a corresponding result in the full game, including wins for either team or a tie.
The markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Pittsburgh vs New England Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. For a market to resolve to 'Yes,' both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to a unique pairing of first half and full game outcomes, including various win scenarios for either team or a tie in either segment.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to freely trade based on their own analysis. If there’s a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise for traders who can exploit the difference. However, as game day approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines often converge as more information becomes available and public sentiment aligns. It's common to see prediction markets being more accurate than traditional polls.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Buying a contract is essentially betting on that outcome, while selling a contract is taking the opposite position. The market depth, indicated by the bid-ask spread, shows how easily orders can be filled at different price points.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the actual result of the Pittsburgh versus New England game, specifically the first half and full-time result. The platform will rely on official sources to determine the winner and finalize the market. Traders should monitor reputable sports news outlets for the official results as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout for winning contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or player availability will likely cause immediate price adjustments. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could also signal a change in expectations. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to market movements, though this market tends to be less susceptible to simple hype than other prediction venues.