TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The event refers to a professional baseball game where two teams compete, and if the game lasts longer than the scheduled nine innings due to a tie score at the end of the ninth inning, it is considered to have gone to extra innings. This particular game is scheduled for an afternoon start. The occurrence of extended play determines the status of the event in question.
If Pittsburgh and Milwaukee go to extra innings in the Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction markets often price in nuances that sportsbooks may not fully capture, such as weather conditions or pitcher performance trends. For this market, traders may assign a different probability than traditional sportsbooks, reflecting real-time data and community insights. Monitoring both can reveal shifts in expectations, especially if new information emerges about player injuries or field conditions before the game.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the chances of extra innings in the Pittsburgh versus Milwaukee matchup. The current implied probability reflects aggregated trader expectations, updated continuously based on market activity. Volume of $546 shows overall interest, while price fluctuations respond to new information such as team performance, injuries, or weather conditions affecting the game.
This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on whether the Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee game requires extra innings to determine a winner, as officially recorded by the league.
Injuries to key starters, weather delays, or lineup changes could shift expectations and move this market. High-profile performances in prior matchups between these teams may also influence trader sentiment. As the game approaches, any update that affects the likelihood of extended play — even minor news — can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.