TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 2:11 PM EST
Kalshi
Pittsburgh and Louisville City face off in a professional USL Championship soccer game on July 18, 2026. The result is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
Resolution is based on the final result of the professional USL Championship soccer match between Pittsburgh and Louisville City after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Pittsburgh win, Louisville City win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from traditional sportsbooks, especially if informed traders spot value. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction lies and highlight potential mispricings worth monitoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability traders assign to that result. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting trends—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to fresh signals right up until resolution.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and official match records. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing quick settlement and payout distribution.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates, weather conditions, and recent form or head-to-head history. Betting market movement from major sportsbooks can also shift trader sentiment here. Social media discussion, expert analysis, and any last-minute tactical changes announced by either side may trigger repricing. As match day nears, even minor news—such as player availability or venue factors—can cause sharp price swings as traders reassess probabilities.