TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:36 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess the potential margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Pittsburgh and Loudoun United FC. They focus on whether either team will achieve a decisive win by surpassing specific goal-difference thresholds. Outcomes depend solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets evaluate different goal-margin thresholds for a Pittsburgh versus Loudoun United FC professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome conditions exist: Pittsburgh winning by more than 2.5 goals, Pittsburgh winning by more than 1.5 goals, Loudoun United FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Loudoun United FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each condition independently determines market resolution, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks, logos, or brand names.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information that isn’t immediately reflected in sportsbook odds. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the potential for different results in the Pittsburgh vs Loudoun United FC match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity determine how quickly prices adjust to new information. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the collective beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Pittsburgh vs Loudoun United FC match, specifically the spread. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Sep 13, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, causing prices to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess the evolving probabilities and make informed decisions.