TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 9:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional USL Cup soccer match between Pittsburgh and Loudoun United FC scheduled for July 11, 2026. The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
Resolution is based on the final score of the Pittsburgh vs Loudoun United FC professional USL Cup soccer match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The match outcome is evaluated in three possible states: a win for Pittsburgh, a win for Loudoun United FC, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie, the designated Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original July 11, 2026 date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market aggregates trader conviction directly, which can reveal sharper probability estimates than traditional betting lines, especially when informed participants have strong conviction. Comparing the two can highlight where the broader market sees value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share's price reflects the market's current belief in that outcome, with the bid-ask spread showing the cost of immediate execution. As new trades occur, prices update in real time, allowing you to enter or exit at the prevailing rate. The continuous pricing model ensures transparent, competitive pricing throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will reflect the final score and official match result as documented by recognized sports authorities. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on team news, injuries, weather, and other factors that influence expectations. Once verified, the market settles and all positions are closed.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, and recent team form can significantly shift trader positioning in this market. Weather conditions on match day, travel disruptions, or unexpected coaching decisions may also trigger repricing. Historical head-to-head records and recent league standings often influence early sentiment, while late-breaking tactical news can create sharp moves closer to kickoff. Monitor team social media, official roster updates, and sports news outlets for catalysts that could reshape the implied probabilities.