TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional baseball game scheduled between two teams. The outcome hinges on whether any scoring occurs during the first inning of the match. This game is set to take place during the evening as part of the regular season.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent either outcome. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants about Pittsburgh’s or Los Angeles’s chances of scoring in the first inning. As game previews, pitcher performance updates, or weather conditions shift expectations, the price adjusts dynamically based on trading volume and order flow on the platform.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on whether either team scores a run during the first inning of the game. No additional interpretation or judgment is required beyond the official game record, and the market settles automatically once the inning concludes and results are publicly confirmed.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute lineup changes, weather updates affecting game conditions, pre-game pitching announcements, and early-inning performance during live gameplay. Any development that alters the perceived likelihood of an early run—such as a star pitcher being pulled or a rain delay affecting offensive strategies—can cause rapid price swings. Traders will also watch closely for any betting trends or significant volume spikes that hint at new information entering the market.