TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 6:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines if the professional baseball game between Pittsburgh and Los Angeles Dodgers on August 23, 2026, will extend beyond the regulation nine innings. A resolution occurs only if the game remains tied after the ninth inning, necessitating extra innings to determine a winner. The market's outcome depends exclusively on the game's length, not on which team eventually claims victory.
If Pittsburgh and Los Angeles D go to extra innings in the Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect sharper, more granular insights because they are driven by direct trader participation rather than averaged house lines. While sportsbooks may offer a simple yes/no proposition, this market captures nuanced probabilities that can diverge based on real-time trading activity and public sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers agree on prices reflecting their beliefs about the game's length. The current implied probability—derived from these bids and asks—indicates the market’s collective view of extra innings occurring. Volume of $503 shows overall interest, while recent price movements often follow key news, such as starting pitcher changes or weather updates affecting game length.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. If the game ends in regulation, this market settles as 'No.' If play continues into extra innings for either team, it settles as 'Yes.' Official score updates and game status reports from authoritative sports news outlets determine the final result.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes to starting pitchers can shift trader sentiment and move this market. Updates from team announcements or umpires about game conditions may also influence odds. Additionally, any shift in betting volume or large trades executed on Kalshi can cause price adjustments as the game approaches.