TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 11:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Pittsburgh and Columbus, focusing on the margin of victory. It determines whether either team secures a win by a specified number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both teams in the match.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Pittsburgh vs Columbus NHL game scheduled for September 24, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered, each tied to a specific margin of victory: Columbus winning by over 2.5 goals, Columbus winning by over 1.5 goals, Pittsburgh winning by over 1.5 goals, and Pittsburgh winning by over 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original schedule, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team performance and other factors, this market allows for continuous adjustment as new information emerges—like injuries or changes in coaching strategies. It’s common to see prediction market odds diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches, as traders weigh different scenarios and their probabilities. However, both aim to accurately predict the outcome, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Ohio State–Pittsburgh football spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders who believe Columbus will win by over 2.5 goals can buy contracts, while those who disagree can sell them. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more contracts bought for a specific outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa, dynamically adjusting the perceived likelihood of each result.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the Ohio State–Pittsburgh football game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out or have their positions closed based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual spread of the game.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Ohio State or Pittsburgh teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, or even public opinion shifts reflected in polls, could move the market. Finally, any updates on team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role in how traders assess the probability of different outcomes for the Ohio State–Pittsburgh football spread.