TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The market centers on whether the Pittsburgh versus Chicago White Sox baseball match scheduled for September 8 will extend beyond the standard nine innings. If players continue competing after the ninth inning due to a tied score, the event is triggered. The game must stay true to its original date and time for the market to apply.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market's pricing is determined by the collective predictions of many individuals. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional methods. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change based on new information and evolving sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether extra innings will occur. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and other factors influencing their predictions. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of extra innings in the Pittsburgh versus Chicago World Series game.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the Pittsburgh versus Chicago World Series game officially goes into extra innings, as determined by official game records. The final result will be sourced from official baseball statistics and reporting. Traders holding contracts representing the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding potential pitching changes for either team, especially if a starting pitcher is known to tire quickly, could shift the probabilities. Weather forecasts are also important, as rain delays or unfavorable conditions could increase the likelihood of a longer game. Injuries to key players, or even reports of strategic decisions regarding bullpen management, could also cause significant movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of how competitive the game will be has the potential to impact this market.