TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS
predict
kalshi

Who will win Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS?

Volume:
$3,504,174

Pittsburgh

 - Kalshi

Pittsburgh - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 10:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pittsburgh

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,087,987
N/A
N/A
$657,357
Settled
Yes
predict

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$14,662
$79,272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago WS

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,336,914
N/A
N/A
$1,471,735
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the upcoming Major League Baseball game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Chicago White Sox. Currently, the consensus probability favors a Pittsburgh Pirates victory at 99.0%. This aggregate reflects data from Predict and Kalshi, with resolution determined by official final statistics from the event organizers as detailed in the resolution source. Given the conflicting resolution dates across platforms – specifically the game scheduled for September 10th versus September 10, 2026 on Kalshi – focus on the predict market’s resolution based on the September 10 at 7:40PM ET game time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi platform lists a game date of September 10, 2026, while Predict lists September 10, 2024. This creates a significant date discrepancy.Hero tip: Trade the Predict market, as it reflects the currently scheduled game. Avoid the Kalshi market due to the date error.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: The market resolves based on the game scheduled for September 10, 2024 at 7:40PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled or tied, it resolves 50-50. 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • kalshi: The market resolves if either Pittsburgh or Chicago wins the game originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. 'If Chicago WS wins the Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Pittsburgh vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for September 10, 2026, at 7:40 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 10 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from expert analysis. While not always the case, prediction markets sometimes demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes than traditional odds, though this market's outcome remains uncertain.

Differences in prices between Kalshi and Predict can arise from several factors. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which can influence their predictions. Trading mechanisms also differ; Kalshi operates with a different order book and fee structure compared to Predict. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $3,476,332 in 24-hour volume – impacts price discovery and can create temporary imbalances. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market.