TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Pittsburgh team will win their professional baseball game against Chicago C. Currently, Kalshi gives Pittsburgh a win probability of 87.0%, while Chicago C is at 14.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT, as determined by the official result reported by the resolution source. Traders should watch for any announcements regarding the game’s status, as the market resolves to ‘Yes’ if Pittsburgh wins the game as originally scheduled for September 13, 2026.
The event involves two complementary markets that resolve based on the result of a specific professional baseball game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to one team's victory. If the game is played as scheduled or rescheduled to occur within two days of the original date, the applicable market resolves to Yes based on the winning team, while the opposing market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed beyond the two-day window, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price, reflecting the inability to determine a definitive winner under the original conditions. The markets operate independently but are functionally interdependent, with only one resolving to Yes and the other to No when a definitive result is reached.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing motivations of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and ensure a profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely followed, providing a common point of comparison for those new to prediction markets. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Pittsburgh vs Chicago game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources and official results as the event unfolds to understand how the outcome will be determined and when the market will officially close. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even unexpected weather conditions could influence trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also impact prices. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular outcome – would likely cause the market to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these factors closely will provide insights into potential price movements in this market.