TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 9:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Pittsburgh or Buffalo during the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Pittsburgh and Buffalo exclusively during the third quarter of the game scheduled for August 27, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold for the margin of victory required for a 'Yes' resolution, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, with separate markets for both teams. Only points scored in the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and all markets operate independently of one another. The markets are structured to allow participants to speculate on varying degrees of dominance by either team within that specific quarter.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of team performance compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate broader public betting patterns and adjusted margins, prediction markets enable sharper, community-driven insights into specific in-game dynamics like third-quarter momentum swings. Traders may see divergence based on real-time data, injuries, or weather updates that affect only this quarter.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will determine whether Pittsburgh covers the 3rd quarter spread as defined by the market rules, closing all open positions at that point.