TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming football game between Pittsburgh and Buffalo. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine which team will dominate the early stages of the game.
The markets collectively assess various point-spread thresholds for determining the winner of the first quarter in the Pittsburgh vs. Buffalo football game scheduled for August 27, 2026. Each market specifies a different point differential required for Buffalo or Pittsburgh to win the first quarter, ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger margins such as over 10.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first quarter of play, with no regard to the full game outcome. The resolution hinges solely on whether the winning team exceeds the specified point-spread threshold within that quarter. These markets operate independently, meaning each evaluates its own criteria without influence from the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to unique participant dynamics and real-time information flow. Traders may price in factors beyond standard sportsbook models, such as weather updates or injury reports, leading to variations in implied probabilities. The volume of $18,231 indicates market activity levels, while 24-hour volume of $14,963 shows recent interest. These differences provide complementary perspectives to sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price for this market through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of all participants. The market’s price fluctuates based on trading volume and recent bets, and the top chance percentage displayed captures the implied probability from trader activity at any given moment.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically the point differential between the two teams at the end of the first quarter, and will be settled accordingly based on those verified figures.
In the coming weeks, key signals like starting lineups, weather forecasts, and early-game momentum could shift this market. Injuries sustained by key players or sudden coaching decisions may also impact trader expectations. As Aug 28, 2026 approaches, real-time scoring updates and quarter-by-quarter performance trends will heavily influence market movements. Any last-minute roster changes or venue conditions could cause rapid adjustments in trader positioning.