TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 12:40 AM EST
Kalshi
Jacob Wilson and Nick Kurtz will compete in the Pittsburgh vs Oakland Athletics game on June 15, 2026, with markets tracking their individual total bases production. Total bases are earned through hits, with singles worth one base, doubles worth two, triples worth three, and home runs worth four.
Settlement is based on total bases recorded by each player during the game. Players must be in the starting lineup and record at least one plate appearance for the market to settle on actual performance; if a player is scratched, not in the starting lineup, or does not record a plate appearance, the market resolves to fair market price. Pinch-hit appearances do not count toward this market.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed opening odds. On this market, participants continuously adjust prices based on new information, team news, and betting flow. Sportsbooks typically move lines to balance action and manage risk, whereas prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on total bases differs from professional oddsmakers, offering insight into potential value or consensus blind spots.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different total bases outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to it, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, and the spread between bid and ask prices shows the current liquidity and conviction around each outcome. Real-time price discovery ensures the market stays responsive to breaking news and game developments.
This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, once the Pittsburgh versus Oakland game concludes and the final total bases are verified. The outcome is determined by the combined bases earned by both teams during the game, confirmed against credible public sources. Resolution happens automatically after the event is official and all scoring is final. Traders should monitor game updates and official box scores to anticipate the likely resolution value as the event unfolds.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, injury reports, weather conditions at the stadium, and recent team form. Trades involving star hitters or pitching changes can shift expectations around offensive output and total bases. Breaking news about player availability or unexpected roster moves often triggers sharp repricing. As game time nears, final weather forecasts and last-minute lineup confirmations typically drive the largest moves. Live game developments—early runs, momentum shifts, and bullpen usage—will continue to influence this market right up until the final out.