TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A Major League Baseball team achieves a minimum number of wins during the 2026 regular season.
Resolution is determined by Pittsburgh's regular season win total in 2026. The event resolves to Yes if the team achieves 55 or more wins. Ties do not count as wins. Win thresholds are evaluated at the conclusion of the regular season.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Pittsburgh baseball season. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge to represent the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if many traders believe the team will perform well, they’ll buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market is constantly updated with the latest information.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the team’s final performance for the season, specifically whether they achieve a predetermined level of success. The precise details of what constitutes a winning or losing outcome are defined within the market’s specifications on Kalshi. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their positions after the resolution date, and payouts will be calculated accordingly.
Numerous factors could influence the price of this market. Key player injuries, significant trades, changes in team management, and even unexpected weather patterns could all shift trader sentiment. Strong or weak performance in early-season games will likely have a substantial impact, as will any major shifts in statistical projections. Positive or negative news coverage regarding the team’s prospects could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the Pittsburgh baseball season is crucial for informed trading.