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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals
polymarket
predict

Who will win Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals?

Volume:
$1,140,660

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$522,341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals

View
N/A
N/A
—
$7,228
$12,060
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$281,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$249,333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,541
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,564
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,082
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 16.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks whether the Pittsburgh Pirates will cover a 2.5-run spread against the Washington Nationals in their scheduled MLB matchup. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Predict shows 100.0% probability for the Pirates spread outcome. Resolution will be determined by official final statistics from MLB.com; if official stats are not published within 24 hours of game conclusion, credible reporting consensus will serve as the resolution source. Watch the game on July 5 at 1:00 PM ET to see whether Pittsburgh's performance meets or exceeds the spread requirement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms apply identical resolution criteria for game winner, first inning runs, postponement handling, and cancellation fallback (50-50).Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics from MLB.com and governing body; credible reporting consensus if official stats not published within 24 hours of game conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Game Winner: Resolves to Pittsburgh Pirates if Pirates win; resolves to Washington Nationals if Nationals win.
  • First Inning Runs: Resolves Yes if at least one run scored by either team in the 1st inning; resolves No if zero runs scored in 1st inning.
  • Postponement: Market remains open until the postponed game is completed; check MLB.com home team schedule for makeup game date.
  • Cancellation or Tie: If game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, or ends in a tie, market resolves 50-50.
  • Resolution Timing: Official MLB statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 24 hours, consensus of credible reporting is used.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponed Game: Market remains open and does not resolve until the makeup game is completed. Bettors should monitor MLB.com for the rescheduled date.
  • Canceled Game with No Makeup: Market resolves 50-50 for both game winner and first inning run markets.
  • Tied Game: Game winner market resolves 50-50 if the game ends in a tie.
  • Official Stats Delay: If MLB does not publish official final statistics within 24 hours of game conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution source.
Timing: Resolution occurs after game completion and official MLB statistics publication, or within 24 hours via credible reporting consensus if official stats are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 5 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 5 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader consensus—what participants actually believe will happen. This market aggregates real-money bets from thousands of independent traders, often surfacing sharper, less biased estimates than fixed sportsbook lines. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities or confirm consensus views before game time.

Polymarket and Predict may show different odds due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Traders on each platform respond to news and live action at slightly different speeds, and smaller platforms sometimes lag in reflecting new information. Arbitrage traders exploit these gaps, but temporary spreads persist. Monitoring both platforms helps you spot mispricings and understand which outcome each community favors most strongly.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates for either team. Weather conditions and recent team performance streaks often shift trader positioning. Live game action—early runs, errors, or momentum swings—typically drives sharp price moves as bettors react in real time. Breaking news about player availability or last-minute roster changes can also trigger rapid repricing. Monitoring sports news and team social feeds helps you anticipate moves before the broader market does.