TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 4:43 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-20 23:05 UTC: If the Pittsburgh Pirates win, the market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the New York Yankees win, the market will resolve to "New York Yankees". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-20 23:05 UTC: If the Pittsburgh Pirates win, the market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the New York Yankees win, the market will resolve to "New York Yankees". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates those trader beliefs in real time, which can lead to sharper or earlier price moves than traditional sportsbooks, especially as game day approaches and new information surfaces. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs most.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders for shares representing each outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the aggregate willingness of market participants to back that outcome, with spreads tightening as more volume flows through the book. As traders update their views, prices adjust instantly, ensuring the market remains responsive to breaking news, injury reports, or other developments that could influence the game.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, once the game concludes and the final result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the actual winner of the matchup as officially recorded. Until that point, prices in this market will fluctuate based on trader expectations, team form, roster changes, and any other factors participants believe will influence the final score.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can trigger sharp price swings in this market. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and recent performance trends also influence trader sentiment. As game day approaches, breaking news—such as a starting pitcher change or unexpected player absence—often drives rapid repricing. Additionally, movement in related markets or shifts in broader sports sentiment can ripple through this market, making it responsive to the full information landscape surrounding the matchup.