TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 4:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Milwaukee Brewers will cover a 2.5-run spread against the Pittsburgh Pirates in their upcoming game. On Polymarket, the current probability for the Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) spread sits at 100%. The resolution will be based on official results from MLB.com. The decisive game is scheduled for August 6 at 2:10 PM ET, and this will be the key moment to watch for confirmation of the outcome.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 6 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized process where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to possible outcomes. The current probability reflects the ratio of shares in circulation to the total market cap. As betting activity increases, especially around key events like pitcher changes or injuries, the price can shift quickly. Traders’ collective assessment of team performance, recent stats, and game dynamics all feed into the evolving odds on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official game record, closing the market and settling all positions based on the confirmed winner or final score.
In the lead-up to Aug 13, 2026, several factors could influence this market. Starting pitcher announcements, key player injuries, or weather-related game changes often cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment. Additionally, breakout performances or slumps by star players may affect perceptions of team momentum. As the game approaches, any last-minute roster updates or bullpen developments could also drive volatility, especially if they alter the perceived balance of power between the two teams.