TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
polymarket

Who will win Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers?

Volume:
$973,266

Spread -2.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -2.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 4:57 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,038
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$545,342
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$262,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,986
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 19

Intro

This market tracks whether the Milwaukee Brewers will cover a 2.5-run spread against the Pittsburgh Pirates in their upcoming game. On Polymarket, the current probability for the Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) spread sits at 100%. The resolution will be based on official results from MLB.com. The decisive game is scheduled for August 6 at 2:10 PM ET, and this will be the key moment to watch for confirmation of the outcome.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for August 6 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On sportsbooks, odds for the Pirates vs. Brewers matchup market are typically set by professional oddsmakers and reflect both public sentiment and internal analytics. In contrast, prediction market odds emerge organically from trader activity, allowing for rapid adjustments based on real-time betting patterns. While sportsbook lines may appear more stable, prediction markets can offer sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges. Traders often monitor both sources to identify potential discrepancies, though the two systems operate under fundamentally different mechanisms.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized process where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to possible outcomes. The current probability reflects the ratio of shares in circulation to the total market cap. As betting activity increases, especially around key events like pitcher changes or injuries, the price can shift quickly. Traders’ collective assessment of team performance, recent stats, and game dynamics all feed into the evolving odds on Polymarket.

This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official game record, closing the market and settling all positions based on the confirmed winner or final score.

In the lead-up to Aug 13, 2026, several factors could influence this market. Starting pitcher announcements, key player injuries, or weather-related game changes often cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment. Additionally, breakout performances or slumps by star players may affect perceptions of team momentum. As the game approaches, any last-minute roster updates or bullpen developments could also drive volatility, especially if they alter the perceived balance of power between the two teams.