TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:57 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-27 19:10 UTC: If the Pittsburgh Pirates win, the market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the Detroit Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-27 19:10 UTC: If the Pittsburgh Pirates win, the market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the Detroit Tigers win, the market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and diverse viewpoints are incorporated. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as the event approaches, as traders react to news and developments.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their beliefs, the prices adjust accordingly. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by various factors, including news reports, team performance, and even public sentiment. The goal is to create a transparent and efficient market for forecasting the result of the Pirates-Tigers game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pittsburgh Pirates versus Detroit Tigers game. This includes any potential postponements or cancellations that may affect the final score. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the resolved outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Pirates or the Tigers would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in pitching matchups, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, or even significant team performance trends could all influence trader behavior. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or managerial decisions could also shift the probabilities. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.