TOTAL VOLUME:
$147b
24H VOL:
$130,869,572
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,797,847,289
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,756,191,003
511,171
Markets across
38,451
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,851
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 1, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Cleveland Browns will win by more than 2.5 points against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 85.0%. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the PIT Steelers vs CLE Browns Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026, as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the match on or around the resolution date of 2026-10-02, reflecting the final point differential.
Each market resolves based on the point differential from the Pittsburgh Steelers versus Cleveland Browns professional football game scheduled for October 1, 2026. Markets are structured to resolve to 'Yes' if the Steelers win by a specified margin ranging from over 1.5 points to over 20.5 points, or if the Browns win by a specified margin ranging from over 1.5 points to over 14.5 points. All markets are independent, meaning each evaluates its specific threshold without reference to others. The governing league's official score determines resolution. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. You may find that the prediction market odds converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, but discrepancies can exist, especially if new information emerges or if the crowd holds a different belief than the market makers. It’s a useful comparison point for informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Steelers will cover the spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe the Steelers will cover, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of traders participating in the market. The current price represents the probability of a particular outcome as perceived by the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Steelers versus Browns game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by major sports news outlets and statistical sources. The market will determine whether the Steelers covered the spread, and payouts will be made accordingly to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources as the game concludes to understand the final result and market settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Steelers or the Browns would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity – a large volume of purchases on one side of the market – could drive the price in a particular direction. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential market fluctuations.