TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.1b
24H VOL:
$122,657,021
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,797,847,289
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,746,719,487
507,598
Markets across
37,743
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,852
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 1, 11:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Cleveland Browns will win their professional football game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Currently, Kalshi gives Cleveland a 75.0% probability of winning, while Pittsburgh is at 25.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the PIT Steelers vs CLE Browns Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market closes upon its completion and will resolve to Yes if Cleveland wins the match scheduled for October 2, 2026.
The market resolves based on the result of the Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Pro Football game scheduled for October 1, 2026. If either team wins, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market will resolve to $0.50. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. These rules ensure clarity in resolving outcomes under various scheduling scenarios while maintaining fairness for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into where the market finds value relative to the established sportsbook lines, potentially highlighting opportunities for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the bid-ask spread, impacting the cost of entering or exiting a position. Essentially, traders are directly setting the odds based on their own predictions and risk tolerance.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Steelers-Browns game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on the final score and declare the corresponding outcome as settled. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Steelers or the Browns would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also influence the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy revealed through media reports might also affect trader sentiment. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations in this market.