TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The market evaluates whether either Pisa or Empoli will win the match by a margin exceeding a certain number of goals during regulation time. The result hinges on the difference in goals scored between the two teams within the standard match duration.
This market determines whether Pisa or Empoli wins the match by a margin exceeding specified goal differences during regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time) in the Pisa vs Empoli professional Coppa Italia soccer game scheduled for August 17, 2026. There are four sub-markets: Pisa winning by more than 2.5 goals, Pisa winning by more than 1.5 goals, Empoli winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Empoli winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the winning team's goal margin exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the calculation. Each sub-market represents a distinct outcome based on the victory margin.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate sharp lines and adjustments, traders on Kalshi set prices based on their own expectations and available information, which can lead to tighter spreads or divergent views on favorites and underdogs.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent possible point spreads. The current implied probability reflects the market’s expectation for how many points Pisa might win or lose against Empoli, with price fluctuations driven by new betting activity, injury updates, and shifting expert analysis.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result will be compared against the market's defined outcomes, and the market will settle accordingly based on official match records and accepted sports data sources.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions on game day, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift this market. Media coverage highlighting team form or strategic advantages may also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 17, 2026 approaches, any last-minute roster updates or venue issues could cause rapid price swings on Kalshi based on how they affect the expected spread.