This event group covers a Serie A match between Pisa SC and Cagliari Calcio scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets include spread bets (win margins of 1.5, 2.5, and 3+ goals), total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and a both-teams-to-score market. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time), identical primary source (legaseriea.it), and identical contingency logic for postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
legaseriea.it (official Lega Serie A statistics); fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Spread markets resolve based on final goal differential: Pisa SC (-1.5) resolves Yes if Pisa wins by 2+ goals; Cagliari Calcio (-1.5) resolves Yes if Cagliari wins by 2+ goals; Pisa SC (-2.5) resolves Yes if Pisa wins by 3+ goals; Cagliari Calcio (-2.5) resolves Yes if Cagliari wins by 3+ goals
Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goals: O/U 1.5 resolves Over at 2+ combined goals; O/U 2.5 resolves Over at 3+ combined goals; O/U 3.5 resolves Over at 4+ combined goals; O/U 4.5 resolves Over at 5+ combined goals
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal; resolves No if either team finishes with zero goals
All resolution logic applies only to goals scored within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
If match is postponed, markets remain open until completion; if match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the final score of the completed match.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split evenly between Yes and No outcomes).
Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned mid-play), resolution follows the official final score as published by legaseriea.it for the portion played.
Delayed Official Statistics: If legaseriea.it does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours after the match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting from established sports news sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics from legaseriea.it are checked immediately post-match; if not available within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used. Markets resolve within 24 hours of match completion under normal circumstances.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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