TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie A soccer match between Pisa SC and Cagliari Calcio scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Pisa win, Cagliari win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi omits cancellation rules entirely, while Polymarket explicitly resolves draw markets to Yes and win markets to No if the game is canceled with no make-up date.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Lega Serie A announcements for cancellation or postponement. If postponement occurs, all markets stay open. If true cancellation happens with no reschedule, expect Polymarket draw to resolve Yes and Polymarket win markets to resolve No; Kalshi's behavior is undefined and may require manual intervention.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Treats all three outcomes (Pisa win, Cagliari win, tie) as Yes-resolving events contingent on the match occurring and that outcome happening. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.Polymarket:
Three separate markets with differentiated cancellation logic. Pisa win and Cagliari win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up; draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up. Postponement keeps markets open. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Primary source: official Lega Serie A statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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