TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909
Volume:
$3,929,767
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Serie A soccer match between Pisa SC and Bologna FC 1909 scheduled for March 2, 2026. Three related markets track the three mutually exclusive outcomes: Pisa win, Bologna win, or draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on game cancellation handling. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation while win markets resolve NO; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation guidance.Hero Tip:
Monitor legaseriea.it for cancellation notices. If the game is canceled with no make-up, Polymarket draw positions will resolve YES while Pisa/Bologna win positions resolve NO. Kalshi's behavior is undefined—contact support for clarity before match day.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering Pisa win, Bologna win, and draw. Win markets resolve NO on cancellation; draw market resolves YES on cancellation. All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve NO' (wins).
- Kalshi: Three binary markets (Pisa wins, Bologna wins, Tie) with identical resolution scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties. No explicit clause for postponement or cancellation. Key quote: 'after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.' Silent on cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.