TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Piratas Veracruz and Cancun FC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in a Liga de Expansion MX soccer match between Piratas Veracruz and Cancun FC. Four distinct outcomes are considered based on the winning margin: Piratas Veracruz winning by more than 2.5 goals, Piratas Veracruz winning by more than 1.5 goals, Cancun FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Cancun FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event explicitly states that Kalshi, the platform hosting this market, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity, often showing sharper or more nuanced views than standard sportsbook odds. Traders can react to breaking news or shifting momentum faster than sportsbooks, which may take longer to update their lines. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities between the two types of odds, especially in volatile or rapidly evolving match situations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants. The implied probability displayed represents the market’s expectation of which team will cover the spread, factoring in recent performance, injuries, and other relevant data. Volume of $3,747 and 24-hour volume of $3,310 show the level of trader interest and liquidity in this market.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is calculated based on the confirmed score difference, and all trades settle automatically according to the rules set by Kalshi.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or tactical changes by coaches can all shift expectations for the spread. Strong pre-match betting trends or early goals during the game may also cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi. Any news affecting team morale or lineup decisions could dramatically alter this market’s odds as the match nears.