TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Piratas de Quebradillas vs. Capitanes de Arecibo
kalshi
polymarket

Piratas de Quebradillas vs. Capitanes de Arecibo

Volume:
$13,389

Capitanes de Arecibo

 - Kalshi

Capitanes de Arecibo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 11:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Capitanes de Arecibo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,098
N/A
N/A
$6,011
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Piratas de Quebradillas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,662
N/A
N/A
$1,770
Settled
No
polymarket

Piratas de Quebradillas vs. Capitanes de Arecibo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piratas de Quebradillas (-6.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 173.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a professional BSN (Baloncesto Superior Nacional) Puerto Rico basketball game between Piratas de Quebradillas and Capitanes de Arecibo scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. The markets track the outcome of this single game, with resolution determined by the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Piratas win OR Capitanes win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution logic. The market cannot be settled as written because every possible game result would trigger a Yes resolution. Use Polymarket as the authoritative reference for this matchup.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Logical contradiction: Both Piratas win and Capitanes win are specified to resolve to Yes. This violates binary market logic and makes settlement impossible. Quote: 'If Piratas de Quebradillas wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Capitanes de Arecibo wins...resolves to Yes'
  • Polymarket: Correct winner-takes-all structure with explicit edge case handling. Piratas win resolves to Piratas de Quebradillas, Capitanes win resolves to Capitanes de Arecibo, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Piratas de Quebradillas win, the market will resolve to Piratas de Quebradillas. If the Capitanes de Arecibo win, the market will resolve to Capitanes de Arecibo.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming BSN game, scheduled for June 13 at 8:00PM ET: If the Piratas de Quebradillas win, the market will resolve to "Piratas de Quebradillas". If the Capitanes de Arecibo win, the market will resolve to "Capitanes de Arecibo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final outcome of the Capitanes de Arecibo vs Piratas de Quebradillas professional BSN Puerto Rico basketball game originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure supply and demand from traders wagering real capital on their forecasts. This market's prices reflect accumulated bets from participants trying to maximize accuracy, often incorporating information faster than traditional oddsmakers. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to your preferred sportsbook can reveal mispricings worth exploiting.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally creates price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also enforce different contract specifications or settlement windows, leading participants to value outcomes slightly differently. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but temporary divergences persist due to capital constraints and the cost of moving money between venues. Monitoring both platforms helps you spot when one side is overpriced relative to the other.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, injury updates, recent team performance, and head-to-head historical matchups. Trades or lineup changes affecting either squad could shift trader sentiment sharply. Weather conditions, home-field advantage factors, and any public statements from coaches or players may also influence positioning. As game day approaches, late-breaking news and final betting action typically drive the largest price moves, so monitoring sports news and this market's activity in the final hours is crucial for timing entries or exits.