TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
A Mexico LMB baseball game between Piratas de Campeche and Conspiradores de Queretaro scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. The outcome depends on which team wins the matchup.
Resolution is determined by the final result of the Piratas de Campeche vs Conspiradores de Queretaro Mexico LMB game originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with applicable rules.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money commitments from traders who profit only if their forecast proves correct, creating a strong incentive for accuracy. Analyst forecasts, by contrast, often rely on subjective judgment and may carry institutional or reputational bias. This market aggregates dispersed information from many participants, which research suggests often outperforms individual expert opinion. Comparing the implied probability here to published analyst views can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus may be overconfident.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share reflects the marginal probability assigned by the last matched trade; as new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, bids and asks adjust, and the market price moves accordingly. Tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower trading volume.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score or result recognized by the relevant sports authority. Until that point, traders can buy and sell shares to adjust their exposure as new developments unfold.
Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any lineup changes announced closer to game day. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and historical performance in similar matchups can also shift trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert commentary may influence perception of each team's chances. As the event date approaches, late-breaking news—such as last-minute roster decisions or tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp repricing in this market.