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$1,441,166,947

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato?

Volume:
$1,555,645

Nicolas Zanellato

 - Kalshi

Nicolas Zanellato - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 8:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nicolas Zanellato

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$571,816
N/A
N/A
$257,851
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Set 1 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Total Sets: O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Match O/U 22.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Maximo Zeitune

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$826,206
N/A
N/A
$369,202
Settled
No
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156,855
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Set 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Set 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Set 2 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Maximo Zeitune vs Nicolas Zanellato Match O/U 23.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Description

A professional tennis match between Maximo Zeitune and Nicolas Zanellato scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET in the Piracicaba ATP Challenger tournament. The event group contains 16 related markets covering match outcome, set winners, game totals, handicaps, and match completion status across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms apply consistent logic: official ATP Challenger results determine outcomes, 50-50 resolution for cancellations/walkovers/incomplete matches, and tiebreaks count as one game.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour (atptour.com) and ATP Challenger event organizer statistics; consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome (Zeitune vs Zanellato) resolves to the player who advances; if match is canceled before play, ends in walkover, or delayed beyond 7 days without result, resolves 50-50.
  • If match begins but is incomplete and one player advances via retirement, default, or disqualification, market resolves to advancing player.
  • Set winner markets resolve based on completed set; if set is not completed, resolves 50-50.
  • Game total markets (Set 1, Set 2, Match totals) require completion of the relevant set(s); incomplete sets resolve 50-50.
  • All tiebreaks, including super/champions tiebreaks, count as one (1) game toward game totals.
  • Handicap markets resolve based on set differential: Zeitune (-1.5) wins if Zeitune wins by 2+ sets; Zanellato (-1.5) wins if Zanellato wins by 2+ sets; otherwise opposite player wins.
  • Match completion market resolves Yes only if all games and sets required to determine winner are played through normal play with no forfeits or retirements; resolves No for any incomplete match, walkover, retirement, or cancellation.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Match: If match begins but is not completed, outcome and set/game markets resolve 50-50 unless one player advances via retirement/default/disqualification (then resolves to advancing player). Match completion market resolves No.
  • Cancellation or Walkover: If match is canceled before play begins or ends in walkover (pre-match withdrawal), all markets resolve 50-50 except match completion resolves No.
  • Delay Beyond 7 Days: If match is delayed beyond 7 days from scheduled date (June 23, 2026) without result or commencement, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Set Not Reached: For Set 2 and Set 3 markets, if match ends before that set is reached (e.g., 2-0 match completion), those markets resolve 50-50.
  • Tiebreak Counting: Any tiebreak in any set counts as exactly one (1) game toward game totals, including super/champions tiebreaks.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by ATP Tour or event organizer. If official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting may be used. Markets resolve immediately upon determination of outcome or cancellation/delay beyond 7-day threshold.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Maximo Zeitune and Nicolas Zanellato in the Piracicaba, originally scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maximo Zeitune' if Maximo Zeitune advances against Nicolas Zanellato. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Zanellato' if Nicolas Zanellato advances against Maximo Zeitune. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The match must have a ball played to be considered official. If either player wins after play begins, their respective market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled before any ball is played due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other circumstances, the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules. Postponements or delays do not close the market; it remains open until the rescheduled match concludes, provided the rescheduling occurs within two weeks.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracking this matchup operate differently from traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting fixed lines, traders themselves determine odds through continuous buying and selling, creating a real-time consensus price. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect pure supply and demand. This market's odds may diverge from sportsbook spreads because traders are pricing based on their own research and conviction, without the friction of vig or house margins. Over time, prediction markets often converge toward sportsbook consensus as new information emerges.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same event due to distinct user bases, liquidity pools, and market mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with different risk tolerances and information sets, leading to temporary price gaps. Polymarket's AMM-style pricing may respond differently to large trades than Kalshi's order-book model, and differences in fee structures or platform accessibility can shift where informed traders concentrate. These divergences typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit the spread, but they persist when regional access, regulatory constraints, or user preferences keep the platforms partially segmented.