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Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the Piracicaba match: Luis Felipe Miguel or Thiago Seyboth Wild?

Volume:
$1,333,279

Thiago Seyboth Wild

 - Kalshi

Thiago Seyboth Wild - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 7:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Thiago Seyboth Wild

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$710,511
N/A
N/A
$312,456
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Luis Felipe Miguel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$477,743
N/A
N/A
$222,993
Settled
No
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,111
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers a professional tennis match between Luis Felipe Miguel and Thiago Seyboth Wild at the 2026 ATP Challenger in Piracicaba, scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner, set winners, game totals across multiple thresholds, set handicaps, and match completion status.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Kalshi share identical match resolution logic: official ATP Tour statistics determine the winner; cancellations, delays beyond 7 days without play, walkovers, and incomplete matches trigger 50-50 or 'No' resolution; all set and game markets require completion of the specified set or match segment to resolve directionally.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour statistics (atptour.com); credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner (Miguel vs Wild) resolves to the player who advances after a ball is played; if match is canceled, ends in a tie, delayed beyond 7 days without play, or ends in a walkover, resolves 50-50.
  • If match begins but is incomplete and one player advances via retirement, default, or disqualification, the advancing player wins; if incomplete without advancement, resolves 50-50.
  • Set-specific markets (Set 1 Winner, Set 2 Winner) resolve based on the completed set; if the set is not completed, resolves 50-50.
  • Game-total markets (Match O/U, Set O/U) count all games including tiebreaks as one game each; if the specified set or match is not completed, resolves 50-50.
  • Set Handicap markets resolve based on the final completed score: Miguel (-1.5) wins if Miguel wins by 2+ sets; Wild (+1.5) wins if Wild wins by 2+ sets or the match is incomplete.
  • Match Completion market (Yes/No) resolves 'Yes' only if all games and sets required to determine a winner are played to completion through normal play; any forfeit, retirement, walkover, cancellation, or delay beyond 7 days without play resolves 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Match Before Set 2: If the match begins but ends before Set 2 is reached (e.g., player retires after Set 1), all Set 2 markets and Match O/U markets resolve 50-50; Set 1 Winner resolves based on the completed Set 1.
  • Walkover or Withdrawal Before Play: If one player withdraws before the match begins (walkover), the match winner market resolves 50-50; the Completed Match market resolves 'No'.
  • Delay Beyond 7 Days Without Play: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date (June 23, 2026) without any ball being played, all markets resolve 50-50 or 'No' (for Completed Match).
  • Tiebreak Counting: Any tiebreak, including super tiebreaks or Champions tiebreaks, counts as exactly one (1) game toward game-total markets.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If official ATP Tour statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as secondary source.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by ATP Tour or within 2 hours after match conclusion if official statistics are delayed; for canceled or unplayed matches, resolution occurs on the scheduled date plus 7 days if no play has begun.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Felipe Miguel and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Piracicaba, originally scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Felipe Miguel' if Luis Felipe Miguel advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Luis Felipe Miguel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The match must have a ball played to be considered official. Resolution occurs based on the winner of the completed Miguel vs Seyboth Wild professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Piracicaba Round of 32. If the match does not occur before it starts due to player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price per the rules. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes, provided this occurs within two weeks of the original date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect live trader consensus—prices shift continuously as new information emerges. Prediction markets often react faster to breaking news, injuries, or lineup changes because participants have direct financial incentive to price in reality. This market's pricing across multiple platforms provides a real-time gauge of where informed traders stand, often diverging meaningfully from traditional sportsbook lines, especially as match day approaches.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different market designs and user bases, which naturally produces price divergence. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model that can lag during low-liquidity periods, while Kalshi's order-book structure may reflect faster institutional positioning. Regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and the geographic distribution of traders on each platform also influence how quickly prices adjust. These gaps create arbitrage opportunities for sophisticated traders and highlight why monitoring both venues separately provides a more complete picture of market sentiment.