TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 5:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Pineto and Livorno. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether Pineto wins, Livorno wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Pineto vs Livorno professional Serie C soccer match originally scheduled for August 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Pineto win, Livorno win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The operator disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds because they incorporate real-time trading dynamics and can react faster to new information. Traders on Kalshi may price in different factors than sportsbooks, such as perceived team momentum or weather conditions, which can lead to variations in implied probabilities. The difference allows bettors to compare valuation approaches and potentially find value across different forecasting methods.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match conclusion, and the market will close based on that confirmed score or result, aligning with standard event verification practices on Kalshi.
Injuries to key players, weather forecasts, or tactical changes by coaches could shift trader sentiment in this market. High-profile performances in preceding matches, media coverage emphasizing team strengths or weaknesses, and even shifts in fan sentiment may influence pricing. As Aug 29, 2026 approaches, any new information that changes the perceived likelihood of each outcome — from disciplinary actions to stadium conditions — can cause rapid price movements, reflecting the evolving expectations of market participants.