TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above $1244.60
- Kalshi
Above $1244.60 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 1, 2026
Closed: Jul 1, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
A special rare Pokémon trading card variant will be tracked for its ungraded market price on a collectibles platform by mid-2026.
Kalshi
If the Ungraded Price of the Pikachu ex 276/217 SIR ASC on Collectr is above $1244.60 on June 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and can differ meaningfully from traditional analyst forecasts or expert commentary on Pokémon trading card valuations. Markets often price in forward-looking sentiment and emerging collector demand faster than published reports. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to independent analyst predictions or industry surveys can reveal where the crowd sees asymmetric opportunity or where expert opinion diverges from market consensus.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Pikachu ex ASC Up or Down: June event is priced as a binary contract reflecting trader expectations about the card's price movement direction in June. The platform's order book aggregates buy and sell interest, with the midpoint price representing the market's central estimate of outcome probability. Traders can enter limit or market orders to express bullish or bearish views, and the continuous pricing mechanism updates in real time as new trades execute.
The Pikachu ex ASC Up or Down: June market resolves on Jul 2, 2026. Resolution hinges on whether the Pikachu ex Astral Radiance Collection card price moves up or down relative to a specified reference point during the June period. Traders should review the full event terms on Kalshi to understand the exact pricing source, measurement methodology, and any tie-breaking rules that may apply at settlement.
Key catalysts for this market include Pokémon Company announcements affecting card scarcity or demand, major trading card sales or auction results for Pikachu ex cards, shifts in collector sentiment on social media and forums, and broader trends in the vintage and modern card market. Supply disruptions, celebrity or influencer endorsements, and competitive Pokémon TCG tournament results can also influence perceived card value. Monitor industry news and secondary market listings closely as June approaches.
