TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Bella Poarch's album "Picnic at the Cemetery" during its first week of release, focusing on pure album sales in the U.S. The outcome depends on whether the sales surpass various thresholds, providing insight into the album's immediate commercial reception.
The event evaluates the pure album sales of Bella Poarch's "Picnic at the Cemetery" during the tracking week from September 18, 2026, to September 24, 2026, in the U.S. market. Multiple markets within this event are structured around different sales thresholds—ranging from above 5,000 to above 20,000 units—all measured by Luminate’s API. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the reported sales exceed its specific threshold, and 'No' otherwise. The final sales figure will be confirmed as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate Data, LLC serves as the neutral metrics provider and does not influence or endorse any market outcomes.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect trader expectations about the album’s first-week pure sales performance, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts often weigh factors like pre-release hype, streaming numbers, and historical sales trends, whereas this market incorporates broader public sentiment and speculative trading. Monitoring both can provide a fuller picture of anticipated performance.
On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the Picnic at the Cemetery album sales market through continuous bidding. The current top outcome reflects the collective expectation of participants, expressed as a percentage chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Market depth and liquidity influence price discovery, with volume of $10 indicating trader interest. As the release date approaches, early indicators such as pre-order numbers and media coverage may shift pricing dynamics on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will compare official sales data against the defined thresholds, closing the market based on verified results from recognized industry sources.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include early streaming numbers, social media buzz, media reviews, any announcement about exclusive bundles or partnerships, and early retail sales reports. Any unexpected developments — such as a notable performance at award shows or influencer endorsements — may also cause rapid price changes before resolution.