TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The track "Pick You Up" by Sheryl Crow will be observed for its streaming activity in the U.S. throughout the first week of October 2026. Success in the market is determined by reaching predefined streaming milestones as measured by Luminate’s API.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on U.S. streaming data for the song "Pick You Up" by Sheryl Crow during the tracking week of October 09, 2026, to October 15, 2026. Luminate’s API will report the official stream count at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Each market has a specific streaming threshold (ranging from 50K to 10M streams); if the reported streams meet or exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Luminate Data, LLC acts as a neutral metrics provider and does not influence market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially identifying insights that individual analysts might miss. While analysts rely on subjective assessments and models, this market aggregates the predictions of many participants, creating a dynamic and responsive forecast. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of uncertainty or disagreement, offering a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Pick You Up streams.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will raise prices, while increased selling pressure will lower them. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment surrounding the Pick You Up streams.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the total number of streams for Pick You Up during its first week of release. The specific criteria for determining the stream count will be based on publicly available data and industry standards. Traders should monitor official announcements and reporting to understand the final outcome and how this market will be settled. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Early reviews and critical reception of the Pick You Up streams will be a major factor, as positive or negative feedback could influence viewership. Any announcements regarding promotional campaigns, guest appearances, or platform exclusivity could also impact trading activity. Unexpected technical issues or delays in the stream's release could create volatility. Shifts in broader entertainment trends and competitor activity could also influence the market’s direction, as traders adjust their predictions based on the evolving landscape.
