TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 12:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Phoenix or Portland will win their women’s professional basketball game scheduled for September 17, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Phoenix an 82.0% probability of winning, while Portland is at 19.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game as determined by the official result, according to the resolution source. Participants should watch the game itself on September 17, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution and whether Phoenix or Portland secures the win.
The event resolves based on the winner of the Phoenix vs Portland women's professional basketball game scheduled for September 17, 2026. If Portland wins, the Portland market resolves to Yes, and the Phoenix market resolves to No. Conversely, if Phoenix wins, the Phoenix market resolves to Yes, and the Portland market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this two-day window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are initially set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and perceived biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, but as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines often converge as more information becomes available and opinions align. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into market sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating a greater perceived chance of it happening. The current market price represents the collective forecast of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Phoenix vs Portland game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific details of the game’s final score will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the official results are available and verified. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could influence trader sentiment and shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors impacting game play could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also affect the market price. Monitoring these factors closely will help you understand potential movements in this market on Kalshi and assess the evolving probabilities of different outcomes.