TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 2:41 PM EST
Kalshi
The result hinges on which team dominates the first half of the same Phoenix-Dallas women's basketball game. Points scored during regulation time of the first half determine the outcome, with overtime periods excluded from consideration.
If Dallas is the winner of the first half of regulation time in the Phoenix vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Phoenix is the winner of the first half of regulation time in the Phoenix vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the first half of regulation time in the Phoenix vs Dallas women's Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities might arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and can change rapidly based on new information and trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at different price points, also provides insights into the strength of conviction behind each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team in the first half of the Phoenix vs Dallas game will determine the settlement of this market. The official score at halftime will be used to determine the winner, and the results will be sourced from recognized sports data providers. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the Phoenix vs Dallas matchup might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and trigger price movements. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by trader behavior.